Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely): result 1-0 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 29Kick-off on April 5, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major
Full time
What was the result of Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely)?
Llantwit Major won 1-0 on April 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 42′?Llantwit Major
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | Newport City(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Goytre United(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2025 | llanelli AFC(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Taffs Well(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Llantwit Major win, 1 draw, 2 Caerau (Ely) wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 2-4 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 3-2 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Llantwit Major 1-4 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Caerau (Ely) 2-2 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major on Feb 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Llantwit Major score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llantwit Major sit 15th in FAW Championship (8 points from 9 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely)?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy