Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 14Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
The Footlab AI model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Baglan Dragons. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ynyshir Albions wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Baglan Dragons (1,477) and Ynyshir Albions (1,495).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baglan Dragons
Not enough data to predict the Baglan Dragons lineup.
Ynyshir Albions
Not enough data to predict the Ynyshir Albions lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llantwit Fardre(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 6-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Baglan Dragons win, 1 draw, 0 Ynyshir Albions wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions 0-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Baglan Dragons 2-1 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 6th in FAW Championship (17 points from 12 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 5th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 17 |
A question about Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Baglan Dragons.
- Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions played?
- Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.