Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars: result 3-4 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
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What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars?
Treowen Stars won 3-4 on October 24, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′C. JonesBaglan Dragons (o.g.)
- 26′L. GreenTreowen Stars
- 36′573767Baglan Dragons
- 46′573767Baglan Dragons
- 69′C. HartlandTreowen Stars
- 90′D. JohnTreowen Stars
- 90′C. HodgesTreowen Stars
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Treowen Stars have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | Afan Lido(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Llantwit Major(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Llwydcoed(away) | 5-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Treowen Stars score 1.7 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Treowen Stars | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Treowen Stars sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Treowen Stars | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2025Carmarthen Town1-0Afan Lido
- Oct 24, 2025Ammanford AFC2-1Cwmbran Celtic
- Oct 24, 2025Pontypridd Town2-4Cambrian & Clydach
- Oct 25, 2025Aberystwyth Town0-1Newport City
- Oct 25, 2025Llantwit Major2-1Ynyshir Albions
- Oct 25, 2025Cardiff Draconians3-0Trethomas Bluebirds
- Jan 16, 2026Caerau (Ely)1-2Trefelin