Pontardawe Town vs Baglan Dragons: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parc Ynysderw, Swansea
The Footlab AI model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Baglan Dragons. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontardawe Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,883 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Baglan Dragons?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Pontardawe Town (1,476) and Baglan Dragons (1,487).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontardawe Town vs Baglan Dragons
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontardawe Town
4-3-3- RR. Booth
- LL. Reed
- JJ. Dorward
- RR. Kostromin
- AA. Legavec
- CC. Dolman
- CC. Davies
- TT. Georgievsky
- HH. Lawson
- JJ. Dolman
- SS. Reeve
Baglan Dragons
Not enough data to predict the Baglan Dragons lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 01:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontardawe Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llangennech(away) | 1-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 6-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llantwit Fardre(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Pontardawe Town win, 1 draw, 1 Baglan Dragons win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 1-2 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Pontardawe Town 1-2 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Baglan Dragons 1-1 Pontardawe Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Pontardawe Town on Apr 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pontardawe Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontardawe Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontardawe Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (10 points from 9 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
A question about Pontardawe Town vs Baglan Dragons?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontardawe Town vs Baglan Dragons?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Baglan Dragons.
- Where and when is Pontardawe Town vs Baglan Dragons played?
- Pontardawe Town vs Baglan Dragons is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parc Ynysderw, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 20, 2026Caerphilly Athleticvsllanelli AFC
- Nov 20, 2026Swansea UniversityvsTrethomas Bluebirds
- Nov 20, 2026Pontypridd TownvsCarmarthen Town
- Nov 20, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsNewport City
- Nov 21, 2026Treowen StarsvsAfan Lido
- Nov 21, 2026Cardiff DraconiansvsAberystwyth Town
- Nov 21, 2026Ynyshir AlbionsvsLlantwit Major