Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin: result 1-2 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 11Kick-off on January 16, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Full time
What was the result of Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin?
Trefelin won 1-2 on January 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 13′Lewys WareTrefelin
- 45′J. PascoeTrefelin (o.g.)
- 85′O. RedheadCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Trefelin have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Llandudno(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Afan Lido(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Bangor City 1876 FC(away) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caerau (Ely) wins, 0 draws, 4 Trefelin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Trefelin 3-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 3-4 Trefelin | League Cup |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-0 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Trefelin 1-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Trefelin | League Cup |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Trefelin 3-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely) on Dec 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Trefelin score 2.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Trefelin | 2.4 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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