Bahia vs Cruzeiro: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 15, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Cruzeiro?
Cruzeiro won 1-2 on September 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 66′Jean LucasBahia
- 77′L. SinisterraCruzeiro
- 86′Gabriel BarbosaCruzeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Cruzeiro have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2025 | Fluminense(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Confiança(home) | 5-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Confiança(away) | 4-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Mirassol(away) | 1-5 | Serie A |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2025 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Internacional(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Mirassol(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bahia win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Cruzeiro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Cruzeiro 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Cruzeiro 1-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Bahia 4-1 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Cruzeiro 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Bahia 2-2 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Cruzeiro 1-0 Bahia | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cruzeiro score 1.6 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Cruzeiro | 1.6 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Cruzeiro sit 5th (39 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy