Bahia vs Cruzeiro: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 1Kick-off on April 20, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Cruzeiro?
Cruzeiro won 1-2 on April 20, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 63′Nilton Ferreira JúniorCruzeiro
- 80′TaliscaBahia (pen.)
- 90′M. MorenoCruzeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Cruzeiro have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2013 | Fluminense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Cruzeiro(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Portuguesa(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 17, 2013 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 14, 2013 | Santos(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2013 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Bahia(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 17, 2013 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 13, 2013 | Vitoria(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bahia win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Cruzeiro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2013 | Cruzeiro 1-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2013 | Bahia 1-3 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Cruzeiro 3-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Bahia 0-1 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2011 | Bahia 0-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2011 | Cruzeiro 2-1 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cruzeiro score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Cruzeiro | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Cruzeiro sit 5th (39 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy