Bahia vs Gremio: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 30, 2014 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Gremio?
Bahia won 1-0 on November 30, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 32′Rafael GalhardoBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Gremio have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2014 | Criciuma(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 16, 2014 | Corinthians(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Goias(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2014 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2014 | Corinthians(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2014 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Criciuma(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Internacional(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Vitoria(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bahia win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2014 | Gremio 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2013 | Gremio 0-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2013 | Bahia 0-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Bahia 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2012 | Gremio 3-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2011 | Bahia 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.1 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy