Bahia vs Gremio: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 27, 2012 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Gremio?
Bahia and Gremio drew 1-1 on October 27, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 41′GabrielBahia
- 43′Kléber Giacomace de Souza FreitasGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2012 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2012 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Coritiba(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2012 | Fluminense(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2012 | Coritiba(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2012 | Fluminense(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2012 | Sport Recife(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Bahia win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2012 | Gremio 3-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2011 | Bahia 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2011 | Gremio 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Gremio | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (34 points from 23 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy