Gremio vs Bahia: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on August 5, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Bahia?
Gremio won 3-1 on August 5, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 32′Elano Ralph BlumerGremio (pen.)
- 64′Leandro Fahel MatosBahia
- 88′SouzaGremio
- 90′M. MorenoGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Bahia have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2012 | Coritiba(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2012 | Fluminense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2012 | Botafogo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 18, 2012 | Sport Recife(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Cruzeiro(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2012 | Corinthians(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 27, 2012 | Palmeiras(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2012 | Coritiba(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2012 | Fluminense(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Flamengo(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2011 | Bahia 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2011 | Gremio 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Bahia | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy