Bahia vs Gremio: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 8, 2011 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Gremio?
Gremio won 1-2 on September 8, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 29′BrandãoGremio
- 36′D. EscuderoGremio
- 57′Rodrigo de Souza CardosoBahia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2011 | Flamengo(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2011 | America Mineiro(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Ceara(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2011 | Santos(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2011 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2011 | Corinthians(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Internacional(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2011 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2011 | Ceara(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bahia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2011 | Gremio 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy