Bahia vs Sao Paulo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 2, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Sao Paulo?
Bahia won 1-0 on September 2, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 71′GabrielBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sao Paulo have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2012 | Santos(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2012 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2012 | Botafogo(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Corinthians(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2012 | Ponte Preta(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2012 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2012 | Gremio(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bahia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2012 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Bahia 4-3 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2011 | Sao Paulo 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy