Baicoi vs Olimpic Zărneşti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Petrolul, Băicoi
The Footlab model makes Olimpic Zărneşti the favourite at 40%, against 20% for a draw and 40% for Baicoi. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baicoi vs Olimpic Zărneşti?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Baicoi (1,417) and Olimpic Zărneşti (1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baicoi have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Olimpic Zărneşti have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Berca(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Săcele(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Corona Braşov(away) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Domnesti IF(away) | 7-2 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Baicoi win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Olimpic Zărneşti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti 4-0 Baicoi | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Baicoi 0-3 Olimpic Zărneşti | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Olimpic Zărneşti 2-0 Baicoi | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Baicoi 0-0 Olimpic Zărneşti | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: Olimpic Zărneşti vs Baicoi on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baicoi score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpic Zărneşti score 2.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baicoi | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Olimpic Zărneşti | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baicoi vs Olimpic Zărneşti?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpic Zărneşti the favourite at 40%, against 20% for a draw and 40% for Baicoi.
- Where and when is Baicoi vs Olimpic Zărneşti played?
- Baicoi vs Olimpic Zărneşti is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Petrolul, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.