Baicoi vs Sepsi II: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 6Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Petrolul, Băicoi
The Footlab model makes Baicoi the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Sepsi II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baicoi vs Sepsi II?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Baicoi (1,417) and Sepsi II (1,439).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baicoi have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Sepsi II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Berca(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Săcele(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Soimii Gura Humorului(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Baicoi score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sepsi II score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baicoi | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Sepsi II | 2.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sepsi II | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 55 | 31 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baicoi vs Sepsi II?
- The Footlab model makes Baicoi the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Sepsi II.
- Where and when is Baicoi vs Sepsi II played?
- Baicoi vs Sepsi II is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Petrolul, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.