Bala Town vs Penrhyncoch: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Maes Tegid, Bala, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Penrhyncoch. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Bala Town starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,511).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Town vs Penrhyncoch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Town
Not enough data to predict the Bala Town lineup.
Penrhyncoch
Not enough data to predict the Penrhyncoch lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Town have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Penrhyncoch have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Bala Town win, 0 draws, 0 Penrhyncoch wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Penrhyncoch 0-1 Bala Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Penrhyncoch vs Bala Town on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Town score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Penrhyncoch score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Town | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Penrhyncoch | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Town sit 5th in FAW Championship (19 points from 11 matches) and Penrhyncoch sit 16th (1 point from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
A question about Bala Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Town vs Penrhyncoch?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Penrhyncoch.
- Where and when is Bala Town vs Penrhyncoch played?
- Bala Town vs Penrhyncoch is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Maes Tegid, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.