Buckley Town vs Caersws: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 18Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Globe Way Stadium, Buckley / Bwcle, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes Caersws the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Buckley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buckley Town vs Caersws?
Caersws starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,585 vs 1,472).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buckley Town have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Caersws have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 6-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buckley Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Caersws win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Caersws 3-2 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Buckley Town 4-3 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Buckley Town 2-4 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Caersws 3-0 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Buckley Town 2-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Caersws 2-2 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caersws vs Buckley Town on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buckley Town score 0.8 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caersws score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley Town | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Caersws | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buckley Town sit 14th in FAW Championship (1 points from 4 matches) and Caersws sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Caersws | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Buckley Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buckley Town vs Caersws?
- The Footlab model makes Caersws the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Buckley Town.
- Where and when is Buckley Town vs Caersws played?
- Buckley Town vs Caersws is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Globe Way Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.