Bala Town vs Llanuwchllyn: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Maes Tegid, Bala, Gwynedd
The Footlab model makes Bala Town the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Llanuwchllyn. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Town vs Llanuwchllyn?
Bala Town starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,519).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Llanuwchllyn have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruthin Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bangor 1876(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bangor 1876(away) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Bala Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Llanuwchllyn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2025 | Bala Town 2-0 Llanuwchllyn | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bala Town vs Llanuwchllyn on Jul 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Town score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Llanuwchllyn score 1.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Town | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Llanuwchllyn | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Town sit 4th in FAW Championship (9 points from 3 matches) and Llanuwchllyn sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bala Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Llanuwchllyn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Town vs Llanuwchllyn?
- The Footlab model makes Bala Town the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Llanuwchllyn.
- Where and when is Bala Town vs Llanuwchllyn played?
- Bala Town vs Llanuwchllyn is played on December 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Maes Tegid, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.