Rhyl vs Llanuwchllyn: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Educate Group Stadium, Y Rhyl / Rhyl, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Rhyl the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Llanuwchllyn. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rhyl vs Llanuwchllyn?
Rhyl starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,619 vs 1,519).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rhyl have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Llanuwchllyn have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Porthmadog(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bangor 1876(away) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Rhyl score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Llanuwchllyn score 1.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyl | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Llanuwchllyn | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rhyl sit 8th in FAW Championship (5 points from 4 matches) and Llanuwchllyn sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rhyl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Llanuwchllyn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rhyl vs Llanuwchllyn?
- The Footlab model makes Rhyl the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Llanuwchllyn.
- Where and when is Rhyl vs Llanuwchllyn played?
- Rhyl vs Llanuwchllyn is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Educate Group Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.