Balatonalmádi vs Sárisápi Bányász: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Balatonalmádi Sportközpont, Balatonalmádi
The Footlab model makes Sárisápi Bányász the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Balatonalmádi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balatonalmádi vs Sárisápi Bányász?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Balatonalmádi (1,348) and Sárisápi Bányász (1,329).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Balatonalmádi have 2 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Sárisápi Bányász have 3, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | MTE 1904(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Haladás VSE(away) | 1-6 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dorogi FC(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Komárom(home) | 1-2 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bicskei(away) | 1-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bicskei(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Haladás VSE(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MTE 1904(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Balatonalmádi score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 13; Sárisápi Bányász score 1.2 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balatonalmádi | 1.3 | 2.7 | 3 | 5/13 | 9/13 |
| Sárisápi Bányász | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1 | 6/13 | 10/13 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balatonalmádi sit 17th in NB III - Northwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Sárisápi Bányász sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sárisápi Bányász | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 17 | Balatonalmádi | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balatonalmádi vs Sárisápi Bányász?
- The Footlab model makes Sárisápi Bányász the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Balatonalmádi.
- Where and when is Balatonalmádi vs Sárisápi Bányász played?
- Balatonalmádi vs Sárisápi Bányász is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Balatonalmádi Sportközpont, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.