Bali United vs PSM Makassar: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Gianyar
The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bali United vs PSM Makassar?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Bali United (1,775) and PSM Makassar (1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bali United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; PSM Makassar have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bali United win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 PSM Makassar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bali United 2-0 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | PSM Makassar 0-2 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | PSM Makassar 0-1 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Bali United 1-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PSM Makassar 0-0 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Bali United 3-2 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bali United vs PSM Makassar on Apr 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bali United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| PSM Makassar | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bali United sit 8th in Liga 1 (51 points from 34 matches) and PSM Makassar sit 15th (34 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 51 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 49 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bali United vs PSM Makassar?
- The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for PSM Makassar.
- Where and when is Bali United vs PSM Makassar played?
- Bali United vs PSM Makassar is played on December 4, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.