Match

Bali United vs PSM Makassar: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Gianyar

Bali UnitedPSM Makassar

The Footlab AI model makes Bali United the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bali United vs PSM Makassar?

Bali United starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,885 vs 1,761).

70%18%12%
Bali United winDrawPSM Makassar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bali United vs PSM Makassar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bali United

4-3-3
  1. 7T. Goppel
  2. 41I. Jaya
  3. 11R. Balk
  1. 8T. Yachida
  2. 88Queven
  3. 18K. Agung
  1. 24R. Fajrin
  2. 22Tim Geypens
  3. 13T. Lam
  4. 4K. Arel
  1. 1M. Hauptmeijer

PSM Makassar

4-3-3
  1. 24R. Eka Pratama
  2. 7L. Veldwijk
  3. 71M. Hidayat
  1. 8S. Jevtoski
  2. 11L. Bulatović
  3. 10N. Foor
  1. 22Victor Luiz
  2. 2Aloísio Neto
  3. 94D. Lagator
  4. 43N. Lalić
  1. 1M. Ardiansyah

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 11:26 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bali United have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; PSM Makassar have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bali United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Persiba Balikpapan(away)6-1League Cup Indonesia
Oct 31, 2026Arema FC(away)3-1Liga 1
Oct 25, 2026Persita(away)1-1Liga 1
Oct 21, 2026Garudayaksa(home)5-0Liga 1
Oct 16, 2026Java United(away)2-3Liga 1
PSM Makassar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Pusamania Borneo(away)1-1Liga 1
Nov 3, 2026Dejan(away)2-0League Cup Indonesia
Oct 31, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(home)0-1Liga 1
Oct 26, 2026Bhayangkara FC(away)0-0Liga 1
Oct 22, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(home)1-0Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bali United wins, 2 draws, 0 PSM Makassar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Bali United 2-0 PSM MakassarLiga 1
Jan 9, 2026PSM Makassar 0-2 Bali UnitedLiga 1
Apr 25, 2025PSM Makassar 0-1 Bali UnitedLiga 1
Dec 7, 2024Bali United 1-1 PSM MakassarLiga 1
Feb 24, 2024PSM Makassar 0-0 Bali UnitedLiga 1
Aug 11, 2023Bali United 3-2 PSM MakassarLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Bali United vs PSM Makassar on Apr 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bali United score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PSM Makassar score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bali United2.71.3310/1510/15
PSM Makassar1.01.637/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bali United sit 4th in Liga 1 (16 points from 8 matches) and PSM Makassar sit 13th (9 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Bali United851223916
13PSM Makassar82339139

A question about Bali United vs PSM Makassar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bali United vs PSM Makassar?
The Footlab AI model makes Bali United the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for PSM Makassar.
Where and when is Bali United vs PSM Makassar played?
Bali United vs PSM Makassar is played on December 4, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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