Where and when is Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya played?

Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya is played on November 29, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen

Arema FC

Persebaya Surabaya

The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persebaya Surabaya starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,747).

Arema FC win29 %

Draw26 %

Persebaya Surabaya win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Persebaya Surabaya have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arema FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 6, 2026	Persija(away)	1-3	Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026	Persebaya Surabaya(away)	0-1	Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026	DPMM FC Brunei(home)	2-0	Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026	Tampines Rovers(away)	2-1	Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026	Persib Bandung(away)	0-1	Piala Presiden

Persebaya Surabaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 6, 2026	Persib Bandung(away)	1-1	Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026	Arema FC(home)	1-0	Piala Presiden
Aug 1, 2026	Port FC(home)	2-1	Piala Presiden
Jul 29, 2026	PSMS Medan(home)	1-0	Piala Presiden
Jul 26, 2026	Persija(home)	1-0	Piala Presiden

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Arema FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Persebaya Surabaya win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 4, 2026	Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 Arema FC	Piala Presiden
Apr 28, 2026	Arema FC 0-4 Persebaya Surabaya	Liga 1
Nov 22, 2025	Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 Arema FC	Liga 1
Apr 28, 2025	Arema FC 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya	Liga 1
Dec 7, 2024	Persebaya Surabaya 3-2 Arema FC	Liga 1
Mar 27, 2024	Arema FC 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya	Liga 1

Last archived meeting: Persebaya Surabaya vs Arema FC on Aug 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Persebaya Surabaya score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arema FC	1.5	1.3	5	7/15	8/15
Persebaya Surabaya	2.1	0.6	10	4/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Persebaya Surabaya	34	16	10	8	61	35	58
9	Arema FC	34	13	9	12	53	47	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya?: The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Arema FC.
Where and when is Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya played?: Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya is played on November 29, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.