PSM Makassar vs Dewa United: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, Lompoe
The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSM Makassar vs Dewa United?
Dewa United starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSM Makassar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Dewa United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persis Solo(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 5-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Semen Padang(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 PSM Makassar win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dewa United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | PSM Makassar 0-2 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Dewa United 0-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Dewa United 3-2 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Aug 26, 2024 | PSM Makassar 3-1 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Dewa United 1-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Jul 8, 2023 | PSM Makassar 1-2 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSM Makassar vs Dewa United on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dewa United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Dewa United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSM Makassar sit 15th in Liga 1 (34 points from 34 matches) and Dewa United sit 7th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 37 | 53 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 49 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSM Makassar vs Dewa United?
- The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for PSM Makassar.
- Where and when is PSM Makassar vs Dewa United played?
- PSM Makassar vs Dewa United is played on November 28, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 27, 2026AdhyaksavsPSS Sleman
- Nov 27, 2026Pusamania BorneovsPersik Kediri
- Nov 28, 2026PSIM YogyakartavsPersijap
- Nov 28, 2026Bali UnitedvsBhayangkara FC
- Nov 28, 2026Persepam Madura UtdvsMalut United
- Nov 28, 2026PersijavsGarudayaksa
- Nov 29, 2026Arema FCvsPersebaya Surabaya
- Nov 29, 2026PersitavsPersib Bandung