Persija vs Persepam Madura Utd: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Patriot, Bekasi
The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Persepam Madura Utd. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persija vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Persija starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persija have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Persepam Madura Utd have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 3-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 1-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 4-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Port FC(away) | 2-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSM Makassar(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Persija win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Persepam Madura Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Persija 2-0 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Persepam Madura Utd 0-1 Persija | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persija vs Persepam Madura Utd on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Persija score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Persepam Madura Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persija | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Persepam Madura Utd | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persija sit 3rd in Liga 1 (71 points from 34 matches) and Persepam Madura Utd sit 14th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Persija | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 71 |
| 14 | Persepam Madura Utd | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 54 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persija vs Persepam Madura Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Persepam Madura Utd.
- Where and when is Persija vs Persepam Madura Utd played?
- Persija vs Persepam Madura Utd is played on December 16, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Patriot, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 17, 2026PSM MakassarvsGarudayaksa
- Dec 17, 2026Dewa UnitedvsAdhyaksa
- Dec 18, 2026Persik KedirivsMalut United
- Dec 18, 2026PSS SlemanvsPersijap
- Dec 18, 2026Bali UnitedvsPSIM Yogyakarta
- Dec 18, 2026PersitavsPersebaya Surabaya
- Dec 20, 2026Bhayangkara FCvsPusamania Borneo
- Dec 20, 2026Arema FCvsPersib Bandung