Dewa United vs Bali United: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 22, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Bali United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dewa United vs Bali United?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Dewa United (1,806) and Bali United (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dewa United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Bali United have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persis Solo(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 5-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Semen Padang(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dewa United win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Bali United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United 0-1 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Bali United 0-0 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Bali United 0-0 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Dewa United 1-0 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Dewa United 1-1 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Bali United 3-1 Dewa United | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Dewa United vs Bali United on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dewa United score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewa United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Bali United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dewa United sit 7th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Bali United sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dewa United vs Bali United?
- The Footlab model makes Dewa United the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Bali United.
- Where and when is Dewa United vs Bali United played?
- Dewa United vs Bali United is played on December 22, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 21, 2026AdhyaksavsPSM Makassar
- Dec 22, 2026PSIM YogyakartavsGarudayaksa
- Dec 22, 2026Malut UnitedvsPSS Sleman
- Dec 22, 2026PersijapvsPersija
- Dec 22, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsPersik Kediri
- Dec 23, 2026Pusamania BorneovsArema FC
- Dec 23, 2026Persepam Madura UtdvsPersita
- Dec 23, 2026Persib BandungvsBhayangkara FC