Ayvalikgucu vs Akşehirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, Ayvalık
The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Akşehirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayvalikgucu vs Akşehirspor?
Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,570).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayvalikgucu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Akşehirspor have 0, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Karsiyaka(away) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2019 | Somaspor(away) | 1-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
How many goals should we expect?
Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Akşehirspor score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayvalikgucu | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Akşehirspor | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayvalikgucu vs Akşehirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Akşehirspor.
- Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Akşehirspor played?
- Ayvalikgucu vs Akşehirspor is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.