Karsiyaka vs Akşehirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir
The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Akşehirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karsiyaka vs Akşehirspor?
Karsiyaka starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,559).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karsiyaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Akşehirspor have 0, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tire 2021 FK(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Söke 1970(home) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2019 | Somaspor(away) | 1-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
How many goals should we expect?
Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Akşehirspor score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karsiyaka | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Akşehirspor | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karsiyaka vs Akşehirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Akşehirspor.
- Where and when is Karsiyaka vs Akşehirspor played?
- Karsiyaka vs Akşehirspor is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026KepezsporvsBigaspor
- Dec 20, 2026Bucaspor 1928vsEskişehirspor
- Dec 20, 2026AyvalikgucuvsBursa Yıldırımspor
- Dec 20, 2026Alanya 1221 FKvsUşak Spor
- Dec 20, 2026Söke 1970vsAltay
- Dec 20, 2026Anadolu ÜniversitesivsTire 2021 FK
- Dec 20, 2026Nilüfer BelediyevsBalıkesirspor
- Dec 20, 2026Denizli İYGvsEtimesgut SK