Match

Karsiyaka vs Akşehirspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir

KarsiyakaAkşehirspor

The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Akşehirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karsiyaka vs Akşehirspor?

Karsiyaka starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,559).

Karsiyaka win46 %
Draw27 %
Akşehirspor win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karsiyaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Akşehirspor have 0, 1 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karsiyaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Ayvalikgucu(home)0-23. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Ayvalikgucu(away)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Tire 2021 FK(away)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Söke 1970(home)5-03. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Bornova 1877(away)5-03. Lig - Group 4
Akşehirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 28, 2019Somaspor(away)1-1Türkiye Kupası

How many goals should we expect?

Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Akşehirspor score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karsiyaka2.70.777/159/15
Akşehirspor1.01.001/10/1

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karsiyaka vs Akşehirspor?
The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Akşehirspor.
Where and when is Karsiyaka vs Akşehirspor played?
Karsiyaka vs Akşehirspor is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Karsiyaka and Akşehirspor

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