Balingen vs Backnang: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BIZERBA-Arena, Balingen
The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Balingen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balingen vs Backnang?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Balingen (1,718) and Backnang (1,770).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balingen have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Backnang have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Reutlingen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Essingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC 08 Villingen(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jul 19, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Nöttingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teningen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 23, 2026 | Göppinger SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Balingen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Backnang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Backnang 3-5 Balingen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Balingen 2-1 Backnang | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Backnang 1-2 Balingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
How many goals should we expect?
Balingen score 1.0 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Backnang score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balingen | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Backnang | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balingen sit 17th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (0 points from 3 matches) and Backnang sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Backnang | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 17 | Balingen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balingen vs Backnang?
- The Footlab model makes Backnang the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Balingen.
- Where and when is Balingen vs Backnang played?
- Balingen vs Backnang is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BIZERBA-Arena, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026FV RavensburgvsCFR Pforzheim
- Sep 12, 2026Bahlinger SCvsFC 08 Villingen
- Sep 12, 2026OberachernvsNormannia Gmünd
- Sep 12, 2026FC HolzhausenvsReutlingen
- Sep 12, 2026Essingenvs1. FC Muhlhausen
- Sep 13, 2026Türkspor NeckarsulmvsKarlsruhe II
- Sep 13, 2026TSV SingenvsFC Nöttingen
- Sep 13, 2026Young Boys ReutlingenvsTeningen