Ballymena United vs Glentoran: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Ballymena
The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ballymena United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
Glentoran starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,482).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballymena United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Glentoran have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ballymena United win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Glentoran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United 0-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Glentoran 2-1 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Glentoran 2-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Ballymena United 0-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Glentoran 1-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Ballymena United 1-1 Glentoran | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Ballymena United vs Glentoran on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ballymena United score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Glentoran score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballymena United | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Glentoran | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ballymena United sit 8th in Premiership (3 points from 3 matches) and Glentoran sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Glentoran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ballymena United vs Glentoran?
- The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ballymena United.
- Where and when is Ballymena United vs Glentoran played?
- Ballymena United vs Glentoran is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.