Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón
The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Balsicas Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,733) and Balsicas Atlético (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Balsicas Atlético have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | UD Caravaca(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Muleño(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bala Azul win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Balsicas Atlético win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Bala Azul 3-0 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Balsicas Atlético 1-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Balsicas Atlético 2-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Bala Azul 2-0 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Balsicas Atlético | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Azul sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and Balsicas Atlético sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 38 |
| 13 | Balsicas Atlético | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético?
- The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Balsicas Atlético.
- Where and when is Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético played?
- Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026El PalmarvsCartagena LU II
- Dec 13, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsMazarrón FC
- Dec 13, 2026SFC MinervavsAlgar
- Dec 13, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsLos Garres
- Dec 13, 2026AlcantarillavsSan Javier
- Dec 13, 2026Unión MolinensevsBullas Deportivo
- Dec 13, 2026Águilas IIvsOlímpico Totana
- Dec 13, 2026Santa CruzvsSantomera