Match

Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón

Bala AzulBalsicas Atlético

The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Balsicas Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,733) and Balsicas Atlético (1,696).

Bala Azul win46 %
Draw28 %
Balsicas Atlético win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Balsicas Atlético have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bala Azul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026UD Caravaca(home)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026Cieza(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Muleño(home)3-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Olímpico Totana(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026Cartagena LU II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Balsicas Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Yeclano II(away)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026SFC Minerva(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Águilas II(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026UCAM Murcia II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bala Azul win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Balsicas Atlético win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026Bala Azul 3-0 Balsicas AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 27, 2025Balsicas Atlético 1-1 Bala AzulTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Mar 30, 2025Balsicas Atlético 2-1 Bala AzulTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 16, 2024Bala Azul 2-0 Balsicas AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bala Azul1.51.369/158/15
Balsicas Atlético0.91.046/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bala Azul sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and Balsicas Atlético sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Bala Azul3471710363638
13Balsicas Atlético3491015384636

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético?
The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Balsicas Atlético.
Where and when is Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético played?
Bala Azul vs Balsicas Atlético is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bala Azul and Balsicas Atlético

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