Match

Bamber Bridge vs Workington: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sir Tom Finney Stadium, Preston, Lancashire

Bamber BridgeWorkington

The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bamber Bridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bamber Bridge vs Workington?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Bamber Bridge (1,655) and Workington (1,689).

Bamber Bridge win33 %
Draw27 %
Workington win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bamber Bridge have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Workington have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bamber Bridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leek Town(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Curzon Ashton(away)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Ashton United(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Avro(home)1-6Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Cleethorpes Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
Workington
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026United of Manchester(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026Avro(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Guiseley AFC(home)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Redcar Athletic(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)0-2Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bamber Bridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Workington win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 6, 2025Workington 1-3 Bamber BridgeNon League Premier - Northern
Sep 6, 2025Bamber Bridge 1-2 WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern
Feb 11, 2025Bamber Bridge 1-2 WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern
Oct 26, 2024Workington 2-3 Bamber BridgeFA Trophy
Sep 17, 2024Workington 1-2 Bamber BridgeNon League Premier - Northern
Jan 1, 2024Workington 2-2 Bamber BridgeNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Workington vs Bamber Bridge on Dec 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Bamber Bridge score 0.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bamber Bridge0.92.618/159/15
Workington1.11.537/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bamber Bridge sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Workington sit 19th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
19Workington51135104
20Bamber Bridge51135144

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bamber Bridge vs Workington?
The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bamber Bridge.
Where and when is Bamber Bridge vs Workington played?
Bamber Bridge vs Workington is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sir Tom Finney Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bamber Bridge and Workington

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