Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kal Group Stadium, Gainsborough, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Hyde United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Gainsborough Trinity (1,791) and Hyde United (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainsborough Trinity have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Hyde United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Workington(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avro(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gainsborough Trinity win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hyde United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hyde United 3-1 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 Hyde United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Hyde United 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Gainsborough Trinity 2-1 Hyde United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Gainsborough Trinity 4-1 Hyde United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Hyde United 2-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Hyde United vs Gainsborough Trinity on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gainsborough Trinity score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hyde United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainsborough Trinity | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Hyde United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gainsborough Trinity sit 8th in Non League Premier - Northern (9 points from 5 matches) and Hyde United sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gainsborough Trinity | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Hyde United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United?
- The Footlab model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Hyde United.
- Where and when is Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United played?
- Gainsborough Trinity vs Hyde United is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kal Group Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026BuryvsCleethorpes Town
- Oct 17, 2026Alfreton TownvsWarrington Town
- Oct 17, 2026Ilkeston TownvsAvro
- Oct 17, 2026Ashton UnitedvsRedcar Athletic
- Oct 17, 2026Bamber BridgevsWorkington
- Oct 17, 2026Lancaster CityvsLeek Town
- Oct 17, 2026United of ManchestervsQuorn
- Oct 17, 2026Whitby TownvsCurzon Ashton