Ilkeston Town vs Avro: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avro wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Avro?
Avro starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,725).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilkeston Town vs Avro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilkeston Town
Not enough data to predict the Ilkeston Town lineup.
Avro
Not enough data to predict the Avro lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Avro have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 5-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dunston UTS(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Witton Albion(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 4-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilkeston Town score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 3.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkeston Town | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Avro | 3.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilkeston Town sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 12 matches) and Avro sit 2nd (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 19 | 25 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 7 |
A question about Ilkeston Town vs Avro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Avro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ilkeston Town.
- Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Avro played?
- Ilkeston Town vs Avro is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026BuryvsCleethorpes Town
- Oct 17, 2026Alfreton TownvsWarrington Town
- Oct 17, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsHyde United
- Oct 17, 2026Ashton UnitedvsRedcar Athletic
- Oct 17, 2026Bamber BridgevsWorkington
- Oct 17, 2026Lancaster CityvsLeek Town
- Oct 17, 2026United of ManchestervsQuorn
- Oct 17, 2026Whitby TownvsCurzon Ashton