Kettering Town vs Needham Market: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Latimer Park, Kettering, Northamptonshire
The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kettering Town vs Needham Market?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Kettering Town (1,852) and Needham Market (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kettering Town have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Needham Market have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Kettering Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Needham Market win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Needham Market 1-3 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Kettering Town 0-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Needham Market 4-0 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Kettering Town 1-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Needham Market vs Kettering Town on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kettering Town score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kettering Town | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kettering Town sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 2 matches) and Needham Market sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kettering Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kettering Town vs Needham Market?
- The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Needham Market.
- Where and when is Kettering Town vs Needham Market played?
- Kettering Town vs Needham Market is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Latimer Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Hitchin TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Nov 21, 2026StamfordvsLeamington
- Nov 21, 2026StourbridgevsRedditch United
- Nov 21, 2026Banbury UnitedvsAlvechurch
- Nov 21, 2026LeistonvsLeighton Town
- Nov 21, 2026Peterborough SportsvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Nov 21, 2026Rushall OlympicvsBishop's Stortford
- Nov 21, 2026Stratford TownvsHalesowen Town