Leiston vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Leiston the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Leighton Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leiston wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Leighton Town?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Leiston (1,812) and Leighton Town (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leiston vs Leighton Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leiston
Not enough data to predict the Leiston lineup.
Leighton Town
Not enough data to predict the Leighton Town lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Leighton Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newmarket(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Leiston wins, 1 draw, 0 Leighton Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2020 | Leighton Town 1-2 Leiston | FA Cup |
| Nov 4, 2014 | Leighton Town 2-5 Leiston | FA Trophy |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Leiston 2-2 Leighton Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Leighton Town vs Leiston on Oct 3, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Leighton Town | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (12 points from 10 matches) and Leighton Town sit 21st (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 5 |
A question about Leiston vs Leighton Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Leighton Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leiston the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Leighton Town.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Leighton Town played?
- Leiston vs Leighton Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Hitchin TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Nov 21, 2026StamfordvsLeamington
- Nov 21, 2026StourbridgevsRedditch United
- Nov 21, 2026Banbury UnitedvsAlvechurch
- Nov 21, 2026Peterborough SportsvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Nov 21, 2026Rushall OlympicvsBishop's Stortford
- Nov 21, 2026Stratford TownvsHalesowen Town
- Nov 21, 2026Kettering TownvsNeedham Market