Leiston vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Leighton Town?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Leiston (1,790) and Leighton Town (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Leighton Town have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Leiston win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leighton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2020 | Leighton Town 1-2 Leiston | FA Cup |
| Nov 4, 2014 | Leighton Town 2-5 Leiston | FA Trophy |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Leiston 2-2 Leighton Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Leighton Town vs Leiston on Oct 3, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Leighton Town | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Leighton Town sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Leighton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Leighton Town played?
- Leiston vs Leighton Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Hitchin TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Nov 21, 2026StamfordvsLeamington
- Nov 21, 2026StourbridgevsRedditch United
- Nov 21, 2026Banbury UnitedvsAlvechurch
- Nov 21, 2026Peterborough SportsvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Nov 21, 2026Rushall OlympicvsBishop's Stortford
- Nov 21, 2026Stratford TownvsHalesowen Town
- Nov 21, 2026Kettering TownvsNeedham Market