Leamington vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Your Co-op Community Stadium, Royal Leamington Spa, Warwickshire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leamington vs Alvechurch?
Alvechurch starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,618).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leamington have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Leamington win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Alvechurch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Alvechurch 3-0 Leamington | FA Cup |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Leamington 1-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Alvechurch 1-0 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Alvechurch vs Leamington on Sep 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leamington sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 2 matches) and Alvechurch sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leamington vs Alvechurch?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Leamington vs Alvechurch played?
- Leamington vs Alvechurch is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Your Co-op Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 28, 2026StourbridgevsRushall Olympic
- Nov 28, 2026Banbury UnitedvsHalesowen Town
- Nov 28, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsPeterborough Sports
- Nov 28, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsHitchin Town
- Nov 28, 2026Redditch UnitedvsBury Town
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- Nov 28, 2026Racing Club WarwickvsKettering Town