Banbury United vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Banbury Plant Hire Community Stadium, Banbury, Oxfordshire
The Footlab model makes Banbury United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Banbury United vs Stourbridge?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Banbury United (1,743) and Stourbridge (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banbury United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Banbury United win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Stourbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Stourbridge 1-1 Banbury United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Banbury United 3-2 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Stourbridge 0-0 Banbury United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Banbury United 0-0 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 26, 2022 | Stourbridge 1-0 Banbury United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Stourbridge 3-2 Banbury United | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Banbury United on Dec 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Banbury United score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banbury United | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Banbury United sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Banbury United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Banbury United vs Stourbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Banbury United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Banbury United vs Stourbridge played?
- Banbury United vs Stourbridge is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Banbury Plant Hire Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Peterborough SportsvsAnstey Nomads
- Aug 29, 2026Hitchin TownvsKettering Town
- Aug 29, 2026StamfordvsRushall Olympic
- Aug 29, 2026Halesowen TownvsReal Bedford
- Aug 29, 2026AlvechurchvsRacing Club Warwick
- Aug 29, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBishop's Stortford
- Aug 29, 2026LeistonvsRedditch United
- Aug 29, 2026Stratford TownvsNeedham Market