Leiston vs Redditch United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Redditch United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Redditch United?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Leiston (1,786) and Redditch United (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Redditch United have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leiston win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Redditch United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Redditch United 4-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Leiston 2-0 Redditch United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Leiston 1-0 Redditch United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Redditch United 1-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Redditch United 5-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Leiston 0-1 Redditch United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Redditch United vs Leiston on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Redditch United score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Redditch United | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Redditch United sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Redditch United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Redditch United?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Redditch United.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Redditch United played?
- Leiston vs Redditch United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Peterborough SportsvsAnstey Nomads
- Aug 29, 2026Hitchin TownvsKettering Town
- Aug 29, 2026StamfordvsRushall Olympic
- Aug 29, 2026Halesowen TownvsReal Bedford
- Aug 29, 2026AlvechurchvsRacing Club Warwick
- Aug 29, 2026Banbury UnitedvsStourbridge
- Aug 29, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBishop's Stortford
- Aug 29, 2026Stratford TownvsNeedham Market