Hitchin Town vs Kettering Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Top Field, Hitchin, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hitchin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hitchin Town vs Kettering Town?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Hitchin Town (1,759) and Kettering Town (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hitchin Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kettering Town have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Hitchin Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kettering Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Kettering Town 2-2 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Hitchin Town 0-3 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Hitchin Town 0-1 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Hitchin Town 0-1 Kettering Town | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Kettering Town 0-4 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Kettering Town vs Hitchin Town on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kettering Town score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hitchin Town | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Kettering Town | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hitchin Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Kettering Town sit 9th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kettering Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hitchin Town vs Kettering Town?
- The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hitchin Town.
- Where and when is Hitchin Town vs Kettering Town played?
- Hitchin Town vs Kettering Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Top Field, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Peterborough SportsvsAnstey Nomads
- Aug 29, 2026StamfordvsRushall Olympic
- Aug 29, 2026Halesowen TownvsReal Bedford
- Aug 29, 2026AlvechurchvsRacing Club Warwick
- Aug 29, 2026Banbury UnitedvsStourbridge
- Aug 29, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBishop's Stortford
- Aug 29, 2026LeistonvsRedditch United
- Aug 29, 2026Stratford TownvsNeedham Market