Alvechurch vs Racing Club Warwick: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Racing Club Warwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Racing Club Warwick?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Alvechurch (1,805) and Racing Club Warwick (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Racing Club Warwick have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hitchin Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | St Neots Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
How many goals should we expect?
Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Club Warwick score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Racing Club Warwick | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Racing Club Warwick sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Racing Club Warwick | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Racing Club Warwick?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Racing Club Warwick.
- Where and when is Alvechurch vs Racing Club Warwick played?
- Alvechurch vs Racing Club Warwick is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Peterborough SportsvsAnstey Nomads
- Aug 29, 2026Hitchin TownvsKettering Town
- Aug 29, 2026StamfordvsRushall Olympic
- Aug 29, 2026Halesowen TownvsReal Bedford
- Aug 29, 2026Banbury UnitedvsStourbridge
- Aug 29, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBishop's Stortford
- Aug 29, 2026LeistonvsRedditch United
- Aug 29, 2026Stratford TownvsNeedham Market