Bursaspor vs Antalyaspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yüzüncü Yıl Atatürk Sütaş Stadyumu, Bursa
The Footlab model makes Bursaspor the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Antalyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bursaspor vs Antalyaspor?
Bursaspor starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,901 vs 1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bursaspor have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Antalyaspor have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 4-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-4 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bursaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Antalyaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Antalyaspor 3-0 Bursaspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Bursaspor 0-3 Antalyaspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| May 10, 2019 | Antalyaspor 0-1 Bursaspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Bursaspor 0-2 Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Antalyaspor 2-0 Bursaspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Bursaspor 4-0 Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor on Oct 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bursaspor score 2.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Antalyaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor | 2.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Antalyaspor | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bursaspor sit 5th in 1. Lig (6 points from 3 matches) and Antalyaspor sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bursaspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bursaspor vs Antalyaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Bursaspor the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Antalyaspor.
- Where and when is Bursaspor vs Antalyaspor played?
- Bursaspor vs Antalyaspor is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yüzüncü Yıl Atatürk Sütaş Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.