Bangor 1876 vs Caerau (Ely): result 3-1 and analysis
Welsh CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on January 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Nantporth Stadium, Bangor
Full time
What was the result of Bangor 1876 vs Caerau (Ely)?
Bangor 1876 won 3-1 on January 31, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 14′C. Powell-RobertsBangor 1876
- 21′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
- 24′C. McGonigleBangor 1876
- 57′L. HarrisonBangor 1876 (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bangor 1876 have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Holywell(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | St Asaph City(away) | 6-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Ruthin Town(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Bangor 1876 score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor 1876 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy