Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 20Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Nantporth Stadium, Bangor
The Footlab model makes Bangor 1876 the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Denbigh Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh Town?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Bangor 1876 (1,615) and Denbigh Town (1,585).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bangor 1876 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Denbigh Town have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bangor 1876(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Bangor 1876 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Denbigh Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Denbigh Town 1-2 Bangor 1876 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Denbigh Town 2-1 Bangor 1876 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Bangor 1876 3-4 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Denbigh Town 2-2 Bangor 1876 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Bangor 1876 2-1 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Denbigh Town vs Bangor 1876 on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bangor 1876 score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Denbigh Town score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor 1876 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Denbigh Town | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bangor 1876 sit 3rd in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Denbigh Town sit 12th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bangor 1876 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bangor 1876 the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Denbigh Town.
- Where and when is Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh Town played?
- Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Nantporth Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.