Denbigh Town vs Caersws: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 21Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Central Park, Denbigh, Denbighshire
The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Denbigh Town. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denbigh Town vs Caersws?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Denbigh Town (1,614) and Caersws (1,676).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Denbigh Town vs Caersws
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Denbigh Town
Not enough data to predict the Denbigh Town lineup.
Caersws
Not enough data to predict the Caersws lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denbigh Town have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Caersws have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Denbigh Town wins, 1 draw, 2 Caersws wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Caersws 6-0 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Denbigh Town 3-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Caersws 1-1 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Denbigh Town 2-0 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Caersws 1-0 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Denbigh Town 4-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caersws vs Denbigh Town on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Denbigh Town score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caersws score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denbigh Town | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Caersws | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denbigh Town sit 12th in FAW Championship (10 points from 11 matches) and Caersws sit 6th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 10 |
A question about Denbigh Town vs Caersws?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denbigh Town vs Caersws?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caersws the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Denbigh Town.
- Where and when is Denbigh Town vs Caersws played?
- Denbigh Town vs Caersws is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Central Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.