Bala Town vs Porthmadog: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 20Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Maes Tegid, Bala, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Porthmadog. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bala Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,142 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Town vs Porthmadog?
Bala Town starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,728 vs 1,590).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Town vs Porthmadog
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Town
Not enough data to predict the Bala Town lineup.
Porthmadog
4-3-3- CCai Llywelyn Jones
- SS. Cavanagh
- II. Price
- DDaniel Paul Brookwell
- CC. Evans
- GGruffydd Ellis
- JJosh Banks
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- NNathan Williams
- II. Havelock
- AA. Ward-Jones
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 01:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Town have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Porthmadog have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 3-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ruthin Town(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Bala Town win, 0 draws, 0 Porthmadog wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Porthmadog 1-2 Bala Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Porthmadog vs Bala Town on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Town score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Porthmadog score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Town | 2.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Porthmadog | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Town sit 5th in FAW Championship (19 points from 11 matches) and Porthmadog sit 3rd (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 23 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
A question about Bala Town vs Porthmadog?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Town vs Porthmadog?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Porthmadog.
- Where and when is Bala Town vs Porthmadog played?
- Bala Town vs Porthmadog is played on January 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Maes Tegid, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.