Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, Ostrava
The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Bohemians 1905. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Baník Ostrava (1,918) and Bohemians 1905 (1,936).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Ostrava have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Bohemians 1905 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sokol Zápy(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Baník Ostrava win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Bohemians 1905 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Baník Ostrava 0-2 Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Bohemians 1905 1-0 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 1-0 Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Bohemians 1905 2-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Baník Ostrava 1-1 Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Bohemians 1905 1-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905 on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Ostrava score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bohemians 1905 score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Bohemians 1905 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Ostrava sit 10th in Czech Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Bohemians 1905 sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Bohemians 1905.
- Where and when is Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905 played?
- Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905 is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.