FK Jablonec vs Zbrojovka Brno: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Zbrojovka Brno. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Zbrojovka Brno?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate FK Jablonec (2,012) and Zbrojovka Brno (2,044).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Jablonec have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Zbrojovka Brno have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FK Jablonec win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Zbrojovka Brno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2023 | FK Jablonec 1-0 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Zbrojovka Brno 1-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Oct 2, 2022 | FK Jablonec 3-1 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Zbrojovka Brno 1-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Nov 6, 2020 | FK Jablonec 0-1 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Oct 1, 2019 | FK Jablonec 3-2 Zbrojovka Brno | Cup |
Last archived meeting: FK Jablonec vs Zbrojovka Brno on May 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zbrojovka Brno score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Jablonec sit 6th in Czech Liga (9 points from 3 matches) and Zbrojovka Brno sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Jablonec vs Zbrojovka Brno?
- The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Zbrojovka Brno.
- Where and when is FK Jablonec vs Zbrojovka Brno played?
- FK Jablonec vs Zbrojovka Brno is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Střelnice, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.