Pardubice vs Sparta Praha: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)CFIG Arena, Pardubice
The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Pardubice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pardubice vs Sparta Praha?
Sparta Praha starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pardubice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Praha have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 4-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pardubice win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Sparta Praha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Sparta Praha 2-4 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Pardubice 1-3 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Pardubice 1-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Sparta Praha 2-1 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Pardubice 1-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Sparta Praha 5-2 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Praha vs Pardubice on Nov 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pardubice score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pardubice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pardubice sit 13th in Czech Liga (1 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Praha sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | Pardubice | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pardubice vs Sparta Praha?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Pardubice.
- Where and when is Pardubice vs Sparta Praha played?
- Pardubice vs Sparta Praha is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at CFIG Arena, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.