Baník Sokolov vs Ostrov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Baník Sokolov, Sokolov
The Footlab model makes Baník Sokolov the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Ostrov. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Sokolov vs Ostrov?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Baník Sokolov (1,675) and Ostrov (1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Sokolov have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ostrov have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chomutov(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II(home) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hvězda Cheb(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Chomutov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Klasterec n. Oh.(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Baník Sokolov win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Ostrov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Ostrov 1-1 Baník Sokolov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Baník Sokolov 0-2 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Baník Sokolov 1-1 Ostrov | Cup |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Baník Sokolov 3-1 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Ostrov 2-2 Baník Sokolov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 5, 2020 | Baník Sokolov 2-2 Ostrov | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ostrov vs Baník Sokolov on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Sokolov score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ostrov score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Sokolov | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ostrov | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Sokolov sit 8th in 4. liga - Divizie B (3 points from 2 matches) and Ostrov sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Baník Sokolov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Ostrov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Sokolov vs Ostrov?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Sokolov the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Ostrov.
- Where and when is Baník Sokolov vs Ostrov played?
- Baník Sokolov vs Ostrov is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Baník Sokolov, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.