Barakaldo vs Tolosa: result 4-2 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, Barakaldo
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What was the result of Barakaldo vs Tolosa?
Barakaldo won 4-2 on October 31, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 50′Iker PedernalesBarakaldo
- 56′Aitor Vellisca RojasBarakaldo
- 69′Beñat CastrilloTolosa
- 73′Iker Garmendia AranburuTolosa
- 74′David NatesBarakaldo
- 82′Guille RuizBarakaldo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barakaldo have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Tolosa have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | Beasain(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Leioa(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Santutxu(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Urduliz(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Deusto(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2021 | Leioa(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Urduliz(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Anaitasuna(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Durango(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Basconia(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Barakaldo score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tolosa score 1.0 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barakaldo | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tolosa | 1.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy