Barco vs Somozas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros, O Barco de Valdeorras
The Footlab model makes Somozas the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Barco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barco vs Somozas?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Barco (1,733) and Somozas (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barco have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Somozas have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Somozas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Coruña(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Barco(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Compostela(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barco win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Somozas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Barco 1-2 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Somozas 1-0 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Somozas 2-1 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Barco 0-0 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Barco 3-1 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Somozas 0-2 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Barco score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Somozas score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barco | 1.4 | 1.4 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Somozas | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barco sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (46 points from 34 matches) and Somozas sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 51 |
| 11 | Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35 | 41 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barco vs Somozas?
- The Footlab model makes Somozas the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Barco.
- Where and when is Barco vs Somozas played?
- Barco vs Somozas is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.